Archive for the ‘strategy’ tag
Caution – there are opportunities ahead!
A recent article in Business Insider had the headline “There’s About To Be A Huge Housing Shortage In The U.S.”. The author’s premise is that new home inventory has continuously declined over the past four years and as of September there were only 163,000 new houses for sale in the U.S. I have been making a similar argument for almost two years so it is nice to learn that someone agrees with me. But even when the markets fully recover and this shortage materializes, not every homebuilder and developer will benefit equally from the new opportunities as not everyone is prepared for success.
It would seem reasonable to me that with housing demand over the past few years having been slower than desired for our industry, there would have been ample time available for every homebuilder and developer to have analyzed and fine-tuned every aspect of their operations so that their companies are operating at optimized efficiency and, with strategic plans in hand, are ready for success. But as I travel around the country looking at the local markets that is not what I see and I have to wonder – is anyone listening, not just to me but to any of the industry experts and pundits who have made their knowledge widely available though industry seminars, lectures and educational programs? Or instead, when the markets regain strength, will these builders and developers revert to their stale, trite, inertia-laden and ineffective operations that helped lead them into the troubles of the past several years? Read the rest of this entry »
Halloween is over for 2011 but it’s still spooky out there for the homebuilding industry
In anticipation of this Halloween as in the past few years, my wife and I again stopped at Costco and picked up cartons of individual packages of Famous Amos cookies. Apparently these are big hits with the area kids as we seem to get a larger number of “trick or treaters” than our neighbors and several of the children remember us from year to year and make it a point to stop at the home they refer to as the “cookie house”.
As we were wandering in Costco we were reminiscing about Halloween when we were young. My wife grew up in Long Island, New York, a neighborhood of single family homes very similar to where we live today where she walked door to door to collect her goodies. I, on the other hand, grew up on the “South Side” of Chicago, an area of rental apartment buildings, primarily six flats with secured entries, so the process of trick or treating was more challenging as we had to find someone to ring us in. One year my friend and I “went for the gold”, ringing bells in a seventy-unit high rise apartment building and, to our surprise, someone actually buzzed us in. As few of the other kids in the neighborhood ventured into this building, perhaps deterred by the several signs proclaiming “private property” and “no solicitors allowed”, we hit the jackpot, filing our bags to overflowing. One resident, an “older woman” as I recall (probably younger than I am today), was truly pleased to see us and had baked huge chocolate cupcakes, the best treat that I have ever received on Halloween.
How different things are today! Back when we were kids, we walked around the neighborhood into the evening on our own. Today, parents stand at the sidewalk keeping a watchful eye on their children. In our day, we accepted anything that was given out without concern for possible safety – the homemade cupcakes were gladly received and were excellent! Today, only treats in the original manufacturers’ sealed packaging are accepted and those are then carefully inspected by parents to detect possible tampering before being transferred to the children.
The world of homebuilding also is a different place today. Housing values remain depressed in many markets; the media continue to forecast doom and gloom and consumer sentiment is still uncertain. Household formation patterns have been stunted, buyer profile segments have changed, employment trends are shifting daily and retirement migration patterns have stalled. Competition has become increasing stronger as the larger regional and national builders have been able to buy distressed land at bargain basement prices and pass those savings on to their buyers to dominate the “price” position in many markets. Read the rest of this entry »
“See Me, Feel Me, Touch Me, Heal Me”
Having missed a concert by The Bee Gees several years ago, we realized that we had made an error in judgment as Maurice Gibb passed away shortly thereafter and we will never have that opportunity again so for the past few years we have made an effort to see performances by as many of the older performers and groups as possible and last night my wife and I went to see Eric Burdon and The Animals in concert. In my opinion the performance was “OK” but certainly not stellar. Burdon, while still having a voice, appears to now believe that high volume, often consisting of screaming, is an appropriate substitute for a song’s melody.
We had an exceptionally delightful evening a few weeks ago seeing Roger Daltrey perform the Who’s “Tommy” in concert. The show was phenomenal and if it comes to your town I would strongly encourage you to go. Daltrey and his band were amazing, playing the entire rock opera non-stop for over one hour. The show builds to a crescendo with the finale, titled above, moving the entire sold-out audience of six thousand plus to their feet for a standing ovation. I admit to being a fan of the original album, the opera, the movie and even the pinball game that followed (Pinball Wizard).
I believe that the plot line of “Tommy” is realistic, especially for today, and the message is certainly relevant in this age where fame is short-lived and heroes and idols are often shown to have feet of clay or, when they speak the truth instead of what people wish to hear, they are quickly removed from their pedestals.
The song from Tommy used as the title of this blog is also specifically relevant to the homebuilding industry and to me, personally. To overcome buyer reticence, inertia and fear, homebuilders today more than ever before need to provide an emotionally meaningful and personally relevant message to each customer so they not only see and hear but also “feel” the compelling message to purchase. And just as in the song, I am usually retained to provide an “opinion” and the “story” although I seldom expect my clients to follow me up a mountain and I do not expect that if they follow my advice they will see the “glory”, just successful residential developments and homebuilding operations. Read the rest of this entry »
